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	<title>Comments on: Calestous Juma and the future of African communications</title>
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	<link>http://www.ethanzuckerman.com/blog/2009/09/15/calestous-juma-and-the-future-of-african-communications/</link>
	<description>EthanZ's musings on Africa, media and international development</description>
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		<title>By: Calestous Juma and the future of African communications &#8211; isiAfrica</title>
		<link>http://www.ethanzuckerman.com/blog/2009/09/15/calestous-juma-and-the-future-of-african-communications/comment-page-1/#comment-1802246</link>
		<dc:creator>Calestous Juma and the future of African communications &#8211; isiAfrica</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 13 Nov 2009 12:20:39 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] &nbsp;from&nbsp; …My heart’s in Accra [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Is There Technology Arbitrage in Africa? &#8212; WhiteAfrican</title>
		<link>http://www.ethanzuckerman.com/blog/2009/09/15/calestous-juma-and-the-future-of-african-communications/comment-page-1/#comment-1742702</link>
		<dc:creator>Is There Technology Arbitrage in Africa? &#8212; WhiteAfrican</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Sep 2009 15:24:35 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>[...] away in a blog post on Calestous Juma talking about the future of African communications, Ethan Zuckerman states: &#8220;The spread of connection infrastructure into Africa now points to [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] away in a blog post on Calestous Juma talking about the future of African communications, Ethan Zuckerman states: &#8220;The spread of connection infrastructure into Africa now points to [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Berkman Center Events &#38; Webcasts &#187; Blog Archive &#187; …My heart’s in Accra » Calestous Juma and the future of African communications</title>
		<link>http://www.ethanzuckerman.com/blog/2009/09/15/calestous-juma-and-the-future-of-african-communications/comment-page-1/#comment-1741797</link>
		<dc:creator>Berkman Center Events &#38; Webcasts &#187; Blog Archive &#187; …My heart’s in Accra » Calestous Juma and the future of African communications</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 16 Sep 2009 21:05:03 +0000</pubDate>
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] via …My heart’s in Accra » Calestous Juma and the future of African communications. [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Your Sources For African News &#124; Africaincorp [Beta DEV]</title>
		<link>http://www.ethanzuckerman.com/blog/2009/09/15/calestous-juma-and-the-future-of-african-communications/comment-page-1/#comment-1741719</link>
		<dc:creator>Your Sources For African News &#124; Africaincorp [Beta DEV]</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 16 Sep 2009 19:03:45 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>[...] Calestous Juma and the future of African communications (ethanzuckerman.com)     Save this: [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] Calestous Juma and the future of African communications (ethanzuckerman.com)     Save this: [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Steve Song</title>
		<link>http://www.ethanzuckerman.com/blog/2009/09/15/calestous-juma-and-the-future-of-african-communications/comment-page-1/#comment-1741444</link>
		<dc:creator>Steve Song</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 16 Sep 2009 12:40:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ethanzuckerman.com/blog/?p=3164#comment-1741444</guid>
		<description>Nobody except Telkom (who manage SAT3) know for sure but estimates I have seen of SAT3 usage are more like 50% rather than 5%.  Suspect there was a typo.

Even if 50% (60 Gb/s) of SAT3 is in use, it is still a very interesting statistic given the apparent demand.  It  suggests a few things to me:

One, demand for international bandwidth in Africa is still fairly elastic because it is not uniformly perceived as a necessity and because it represents too high a proportion of the average individual&#039;s income when translated into a street price. 

Two, national backbone and local-loop infrastructure is still largely underdeveloped.  Obviously African countries are now racing to correct that.  A case where &quot;build it and they will come&quot; actually turns out to be true.

Finally, it shows that bell-headed incumbent telcos, such as make up the ownership of SAT3, still don&#039;t believe in or get the economics of abundance. They should. There is no more telling indicator than the fact that increasingly the most reliable indicator of profitability for mobile operators is the number of subscribers rather than Average Revenue Per User (ARPU), a scarcity indicator.

As an interesting aside, I see that France Telecom, a major investor in SAT3, are being &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.economist.com/people/displaystory.cfm?story_id=14402214&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;taught a similar lesson&lt;/a&gt; closer to home.  :-)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Nobody except Telkom (who manage SAT3) know for sure but estimates I have seen of SAT3 usage are more like 50% rather than 5%.  Suspect there was a typo.</p>
<p>Even if 50% (60 Gb/s) of SAT3 is in use, it is still a very interesting statistic given the apparent demand.  It  suggests a few things to me:</p>
<p>One, demand for international bandwidth in Africa is still fairly elastic because it is not uniformly perceived as a necessity and because it represents too high a proportion of the average individual&#8217;s income when translated into a street price. </p>
<p>Two, national backbone and local-loop infrastructure is still largely underdeveloped.  Obviously African countries are now racing to correct that.  A case where &#8220;build it and they will come&#8221; actually turns out to be true.</p>
<p>Finally, it shows that bell-headed incumbent telcos, such as make up the ownership of SAT3, still don&#8217;t believe in or get the economics of abundance. They should. There is no more telling indicator than the fact that increasingly the most reliable indicator of profitability for mobile operators is the number of subscribers rather than Average Revenue Per User (ARPU), a scarcity indicator.</p>
<p>As an interesting aside, I see that France Telecom, a major investor in SAT3, are being <a href="http://www.economist.com/people/displaystory.cfm?story_id=14402214" rel="nofollow">taught a similar lesson</a> closer to home.  :-)</p>
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		<title>By: MediaBerkman : Calestous Juma on Legal Issues in Broadband Internet for Eastern Africa [AUDIO]</title>
		<link>http://www.ethanzuckerman.com/blog/2009/09/15/calestous-juma-and-the-future-of-african-communications/comment-page-1/#comment-1740727</link>
		<dc:creator>MediaBerkman : Calestous Juma on Legal Issues in Broadband Internet for Eastern Africa [AUDIO]</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 Sep 2009 21:33:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ethanzuckerman.com/blog/?p=3164#comment-1740727</guid>
		<description>[...]  here for notes on the event from Ethan [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...]  here for notes on the event from Ethan [...]</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: MediaBerkman : Calestous Juma on Legal Issues in Broadband Internet for Eastern Africa</title>
		<link>http://www.ethanzuckerman.com/blog/2009/09/15/calestous-juma-and-the-future-of-african-communications/comment-page-1/#comment-1740725</link>
		<dc:creator>MediaBerkman : Calestous Juma on Legal Issues in Broadband Internet for Eastern Africa</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 Sep 2009 21:32:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ethanzuckerman.com/blog/?p=3164#comment-1740725</guid>
		<description>[...]  here for notes on the event from Ethan [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...]  here for notes on the event from Ethan [...]</p>
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